A
Primary Caucus Primer
By Nancy Salvato
While a great number
of people do not see the value in the Electoral College (And "W" Takes the
Series), it is
possible an even greater number of people don’t fully comprehend how each
political party selects their candidate for president. During the Iowa Caucus,
after I heard several people draw a blank when asked to explain how a Caucus
works, I decided it might be time to put together a primer on the nominating
process.
The Republican and
Democratic political parties "officially
nominate their
candidate for President at their respective national conventions, usually held
the summer before the election." In order to win the
nomination, a
Democrat must win 2,025 delegates out of 4,049 possible and a Republican must
win 1,191 delegates out of 2,381 possible. Leading up to the national
conventions, there are a series of presidential caucuses and primary elections
which take place across the nation. Traditionally, this begins with the Iowa
caucus, held in early January of the presidential election year, and is quickly
followed by the New Hampshire primary.
"Most
[Emphasis mine] of the delegates in each party are awarded based upon election
results in any given state."
"Depending on state
law and state party rules, when voters cast ballots for a candidate in a
presidential caucus or primary, they may be actually voting to award
delegates bound to vote for a candidate at the state or national
convention or may simply be expressing an opinion that the state party is
not bound to follow in selecting delegates to the national convention."
[Emphasis mine]
Furthermore, "Not
all of the delegates in either party are selected by voters in primaries or
caucuses. There are quite a few delegates that automatically go to each
convention. They might be a member of Congress, a governor, or even a party
official. They get automatic berths to the convention, and can vote for whomever
they choose. Already, some of those automatic delegates have pledged to the
candidate they support. But, they can also change their minds at any point for
any reason."
The format of the
presidential caucuses and primary elections varies between the states.
Binding
Primary
Nearly all states have a binding primary, in which the results
of the election legally bind some or all of the delegates to vote for a
particular candidate at the national convention, for a certain number of ballots
or until the candidate releases the delegates.
Non-Binding
Primary
A handful of states practice a non-binding primary, which may
select candidates to a state convention which then selects delegates.
Closed Primary
In
most states, only voters registered with a party may vote in that party's
primary.
Semi-Closed
Primary
Voters unaffiliated with a party (independents) may choose a party
primary in which to vote.
Blanket
Primary
All registered voters can participate in all primaries.
Presidential
Preference Primary (Direct)
The voter chooses the candidate by name from a
list of candidates on the ballot.
Presidential
Preference Primary (Indirect)
The voter chooses among delegate names rather
than candidate names. Delegates voice support for a particular candidate or
remain uncommitted.
"In some states a
combination of the primary and caucus systems are used. The primary serves as a
measure of public opinion but is not necessarily binding in choosing delegates.
Sometimes the Party does not recognize open primaries because members of other
parties are permitted to vote."
Caucus
"Generally
any voter registered with the party may attend. At the caucus, delegates are
chosen to represent the state's interests at the national party convention.
Prospective delegates are identified as favorable to a specific candidate or
uncommitted. After discussion and debate an informal vote is taken to determine
which delegates should be chosen."
Proportional
Representation
Under Democratic Party selection rules, a candidate requires a
minimum threshold of 15% in a state in order to receive delegates.
Superdelegates
Superdelegates account for approximately one fifth (19.6%) of all votes at
the Democratic National Convention. These delegates (elected officeholders and
party officials) are not bound by the decisions of party primaries or caucuses.
The 792 superdelegates include
all Democratic members of the United States Congress, various additional elected
officials, as well as members of the Democratic National Committee. The
Republican Party does not have superdelegates, it has 463 unpledged delegates,
123 of whom are Republican National Committee members.
According to
Brown University
researchers Brian Knight and Nathan Schiff, "voters in early primary states have up
to 20 times the influence of voters in later states in the selection of
candidates." Some states scheduled their primaries early, in violation of the
agreed upon date of February 5th for the first primary, and for this they have
been penalized.
"The Democratic
Party is punishing Michigan and Florida by refusing to accept their delegates at
the national convention. The Republican Party is penalizing Florida, Michigan,
New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Wyoming, by reducing their quota of delegates
by half. BBC
News Because of
these sanctions, these early primaries are sometimes referred to as "beauty
contests"
because of their diminished impact on "the makeup of the state's National
Convention delegation" however, they still exert great influence on the
candidates and voters. Regardless of who eventually wins the party nomination,
the primaries help to influence and refine the candidates’ platforms as the
process evolves.
"In recent
elections, the Iowa caucuses and New Hampshire primary have garnered over half
the national and international media attention paid to the entire selection
process."
Professor Matthew
Søberg Shugart
explains in his Blog, Fruits and Votes, "there are usually three or more
"viable" candidates and several stragglers at the start of the process, but by
the end the race has narrowed to two major contenders." He is watching to see
"whether the collapsed calendar means less time for the shakeout towards 2+
candidates to occur, and thus potentially the nomination of a non-consensus
candidate."
This year’s
Democratic National Convention will be held in Denver, Colorado, from August
25-28 at the downtown Pepsi Center. The Republican National Convention will be
held in Minneapolis-St. Paul, Minnesota, from September 1-4 at the RiverCentre /
Xcel Energy Center.
For More Information
about the status of the candidates in the state primaries: