The Electoral College versus
the popular vote
By Vincent Gioia
Since the 2000 presidential
election, there have been calls for changing the way the president is elected
because though George Bush received the majority of Electoral College votes, Al
Gore received a larger number of votes nationwide. Democrats in particular have
been very vocal about this and many on the left still harbor feelings that the
George Bush ‘stole’ the election despite the fact his win was entirely in
accordance with the Constitution.
The Electoral College is a device
that founders of our country settled upon to create our republican form of
government. Strictly speaking, we do not have a ‘democracy’ where matters are
decided by the collective individual votes of those authorized to vote, we have
a representative democracy where the people’s voice is theoretically expressed
through elected representatives. However, the country’s founders recognized a
problem would occur unless states with large populations were somehow balanced
with respect to smaller states; otherwise, larger states would dominate national
elections. It was therefore necessary to include provisions in the Constitution
to give a reasonable voice to those living in less populated states.
Attaining more balanced
representation in government and in national elections was achieved by
establishing one branch of the legislature representing population on an equal
basis (the House of Representatives) and another branch giving equal
representation to all states by having the same number of elected
representatives regardless of state size (the Senate).
To achieve a more balanced ability
to affect the outcome of national elections for president and vice president by
lessening, somewhat, the dominance of states with large population, and the
concept of an Electoral College was chosen. The Electoral College actually
elects the chief executive but the composition of the Electoral College reflects
the vote of the citizens in each state in a reasonable manner. Under the
Electoral College system ‘Electors’ are selected in accordance with the
presidential outcome of the public vote in each state. The number of Electors
provided to each state corresponds to the number of representatives and senators
each state is allotted in the House of Representatives by the population of the
state, and the two senators of each state. In this way, each state influences
the outcome of the presidential election by the size of their population, but
not overwhelmingly so. The allocation of representatives is readjusted every ten
years following a national census.
Article II of the constitution
directs that the number of electors correspond exactly with the numbers in the
Congress (100 electors representing the Senate and 435 additional electors
representing the House). Following enactment of the 23rd Amendment, the District
of Columbia receives the same number of electors as the least populous State (3
electors). Therefore, currently there are a total of 538 presidential electors
distributed among the States according to the total number of U. S. Senators and
U. S. Representatives in each State (e.g., California has 54 electors, Texas 32,
Iowa 7, Wisconsin 11, etc.). A candidate for president must obtain an absolute
majority of the electoral votes — 270 — in order to attain the
presidency.
Under the Electoral College system,
the smaller states receive a slightly greater voice, proportionally speaking.
For example, California is the largest state and its 33 million inhabitants have
54 electors, each of whom represents 614,000 inhabitants. However, Wyoming is
the smallest State and its less than one-half million inhabitants are
represented by 3 electors — one for every 160,000 inhabitants. This therefore
gives Wyoming slightly more proportional strength.
Therefore, on the one hand, the
Electoral College tends somewhat to over-represent voters in smaller States; and
no matter how small a state is, because it is guaranteed at least 3 electors.
However, the combined number of electors in the eight smallest States (Alaska,
Delaware, North Dakota, South Dakota, Vermont, Wyoming, Montana, and Rhode
Island) produces the same number of electors as the single State of Florida even
though Florida has a population more than three times greater than those eight
smaller States combined.
Yet, on the other hand, if a
candidate wins California and its 54 electoral votes, that candidate is
one-fifth of the way to the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency.
Therefore, while California accounts for only 11% of the nation’s population it
can provide 20% of the electoral votes needed to obtain the presidency. The
Electoral College system therefore preserves a balance between population
centers and between diverse State and regional interests, incorporating elements
both of popular and of state representation in its operation.
However, each state is permitted to
determine the manner the state’s Electors who will actually vote for the
election of the president and vice president are chosen. It is because of this
state right, some people advocate changes in the manner of selecting the
country’s highest officers. Rather than have Electors of a state reflecting the
outcome of the vote for president and vice president in that state by a general
state election on a ‘winner take all’ basis, a state may choose some other
manner of allocating the Electors from that state who will meet together in the
‘Electoral College’ to actually elect the president and vice president.
Currently, the popular vote in each
State directs the electors of that State how to cast their vote for President.
In most States, whichever candidate wins the popular vote in that State wins all
of that State’s electors; but since the manner of choosing a State’s electors is
left by the Constitution to each State, different States have different rules.
For example, in Maine and Nebraska, the winner does not take all; rather, the
candidate who wins the popular vote in each congressional district wins the
electoral vote from that congressional district, and the candidate who wins the
entire state receives the state’s two remaining electoral votes.
Various groups, (mainly liberals)
claim that the Electoral College system is unfair to voters and want the
Electoral College to be replaced by a popular vote system. They
basically argue that under the current ‘winner take all’ practices of most
states, individual votes become meaningless because each state gets a certain
number of electoral votes and the popular vote is not taken into account.
On the other hand, without the
Electoral College, candidates would spend less time trying to win the votes of
many individuals in smaller states. As Curtis Gans, from the Committee for the
Study of the American Electorate, points out:
"The idea of getting rid of the
Electoral College . . . would be profoundly dangerous, particularly in the
present way that we conduct our campaigns. Essentially what this would mean is
that the totality of our campaigns would be a television advertising, tarmac
kind of campaign. You would be handing the American presidential campaign to
whatever media adviser could out slick the other. Different States in different
regions have important interests to which the candidate should be subjected and
to which the candidates should be required to speak. . . . [D]irect elections
would insure that all monetary resources would be poured into [televised
political] advertising. There would be virtually no incentive to try to mobilize
constituencies, organize specific interests, or devote any resources to such
things as voter registration and education. . . . What we would have is a
political system that combines the worst of network television with the worst of
the modern campaign".
I believe without the Electoral
College system candidates would logically spend their campaign courting voters
in the most populous urban areas such as Chicago, San Francisco, New York City,
Washington, D. C., Miami, Seattle, etc., rather than visiting cities in more
rural areas. Furthermore, since larger urban areas tend to be more liberal than
the rest of the nation, the result would be presidential campaigns would cater
predominately to liberal interests and liberals would have more power to select
the winners of presidential elections.
Under the electoral college system,
it is possible that a candidate can win the presidency by carrying a majority of
only the 11 most densely populated States (California, Texas, Florida, New York,
Ohio, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Michigan, New Jersey, North Carolina and either
Georgia or Virginia). However, under a system of direct elections, this number
could be reduced to even fewer States, particularly if they happened to be the
largest states and could deliver overwhelming margins of victory, (such as
Washington, D. C., did for Gore by the lopsided 86 to 9 percent margin). In
fact, the margin of victory in a State would become more important than simply
winning the State and thus could easily cause a candidate not to visit a close
state but rather to spend time in a state in which he or she is already popular,
merely to drive up the margin of the vote and add more to the candidates
national total.
Therefore, contrary to what others
may believe, the Electoral College system ensures a fairer outcome and, rather
than preventing the counting of each individual’s vote, it actually enhances the
opportunity for the votes of many more individuals to be courted without
unfairly benefiting liberals who count on large margins of victory in large
urban areas.